21日、自民党内グループが動き出した。来年10月に予定されている消費税の10%への引き上げに慎重論が出された。

【総理みずから認める、アベノミクスの効果薄】
菅官房長官は21日の動きについて、「色々な意見があるのが自民党ですから」と述べた。
だが、すでに19日、英国のファイナンシャル・タイムズ紙は、安部総理が「消費増税の延期を示唆した」ことを報じている。(下記資料)
みずからの経済政策の効果薄を国内では認めたくないというのは、要するに、政策が失敗しているという事の裏返しだ。

【消費増税以前に、購買力が低下し続ける日本】
この1年の間に、生活が向上し、消費支出を拡大したと実感できる国民がどれだけいるだろうか。殆どゼロだろう。「アベノミクスで、商売繁盛している」なんて話は全く聞かない。
実際、今年4-6期の経済成長はマイナス7.1%であり、個人消費は低迷を続けており、1年以上実質賃金が下がり続けている。消費者物価指数と実質賃金指数の関係をみると、実質的な購買力は低下傾向にある。アベノミクスを支持しているのは、相場が不安的になってこそ稼ぎ時と喜ぶ一部のヘッジファンドや機関投資家だけだ。彼らは更なる金融緩和まで要求している。彼らがアナリストと称して媒体でおおっぴらに期待する事は、日本経済の基礎体力でもなければ、日本国民の生活の向上でもない。彼らは「相場が不安定になればなるほど良い」と露骨かつ正直に主張している。それだけだ。

今回、自民党の異論に増税派が耳を傾けるという芝居がかったパフォーマンスを採らざるをえないのは、アベノミクスが株高以外めぼしい成果をあげられず、国民生活の向上を促していないという点で、事実上、失敗しているからだ。増税時期の軌道修正を図らねばならない位の深刻な情勢にある。

と真面目に書いていたら…、嘆息するような速報

【酒とウチワとSMバー、決して許されない有権者への買収工作】
「SMバー」に交際費支出=小渕氏後任の宮沢経産相
時事通信 10月23日(木)12時8分配信 http://headlines.yahoo.co.jp/hl?a=20141023-00000052-jij-soci  
「 宮沢洋一経済産業相の資金管理団体「宮沢会」が2010年9月、広島市の「SMバー」に、交際費名目で政治活動費を支出していたことが23日、同会の政治資金収支報告書で分かった。宮沢氏は、前任の小渕優子氏が政治活動費の不明朗会計問題で辞任したことを受け、21日に就任したばかり。
 宮沢経産相の事務所は「事実関係を調査中だが、本人が行っていないことは当時の記録で確認した」としている。 」
宮沢経産相は「私はそういう趣味はない」と釈明しているらしいが、行ってないなら(というか言って無くても)問題だ。これは買収だからだ。有権者を買収していたことになる。昨日には、小渕氏の後援会が「酒(ワイン)をばらまいていた」ということが明るみになっている。これも買収工作となる。SMバーに政治活動費支出など許されない。財政規律をゆるゆるにさせる政策を取り続けているアベノミクスの倫理崩壊行為のツケが噴出してきたとみられる。
菅官房長官「本人がしっかり対処」 SMバーに政治活動費
「 菅義偉(すが・よしひで)官房長官は23日の記者会見で、宮沢洋一経済産業相の資金管理団体がSMバーに政治活動費を支出していたことについて「宮沢氏がしっかりと適切に対処する」と述べた。菅氏は宮沢氏から「自分は行っていない」との報告を受けたという。
 菅氏は「国民は難問山積の中で政策的な論争を望んでいると思うので、建設的な審議をお願いしたい。国会で議論して政治を前に進めていくのが大事だ」と述べ、宮沢氏への追及をちらつかせる野党側を牽制(けんせい)した。」

官房長官の発言は、全くの筋違いだ。これは、利害関係者への尾篭な酒色の接待に政治資金を使ったということだ。許されることではない。

【資料】 (全文を読むには登録が必要)
FINANCIAL TIMES
Abe balances tax rise against economic damage
英国FT紙Abe balances tax rise against economic damage

Gideon Rachman and James Politi in Milan
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/25431cfc-57af-11e4-8493-00144feab7de.html#axzz3GxZpyMV4

Shinzo Abe has hinted that he may delay increasing Japan’s consumption tax, saying the move would be “meaningless” if it inflicted too much damage on the country’s economy.

In an interview with the Financial Times, Japan’s prime minister, said the planned tax increase from 8 per cent to 10 per cent was intended to help secure pension and health benefits for “the next generation”. But he added: “On the other hand, since we have an opportunity to end deflation, we should not lose this opportunity.”

The Japanese economy shrank 7.1 per cent between April and June compared with a year ago after Mr Abe’s government raised consumption tax from 5 per cent to 8 per cent. A second rise has strong backing from the Bank of Japan, the finance ministry, big business and the International Monetary Fund, which all want action to reduce the country’s mountainous debt. A postponement would require a change in the law.

But Mr Abe said: “By increasing the consumption tax rate if the economy derails and if it decelerates, there will be no increase in tax revenues so it would render the whole exercise meaningless.”

His caution shows how much now rides on the strength of the rebound in growth in the third quarter. He is expected to decide on the tax in early December when the final data come in, but early indicators have been disappointing.

Concerns that Mr Abe’s plan to revive the Japanese economy is running out of steam added to gloom over global growth prospects that stirred financial markets around the world last week.


On previous foreign trips, the Japanese prime minister has acted as a confident salesman for his reform programme. He once urged traders at the New York Stock Exchange to “buy my Abenomics”.

But the exuberance has gone from Abenomics. Instead the effort to turn around the Japanese economy is looking like a long, hard, perilous slog.

In Milan, Mr Abe’s manner was sober and even, at times, defensive. He showed flashes of irritation with commentators who have cast doubt on the success of Abenomics.

“I believe there will come a day when the economy will start a virtuous circle that will be felt in every corner of the nation,” he said. “There are always those who criticise, but those people never come up with an alternative.”

He acknowledged more was needed to help companies, particularly small businesses, hit by the weakening of the yen.

“Of course we will keep an eye on those in rural and local areas and SMEs who are hit by the rise in import prices and as necessary it is our intention to take measures,” he added.


But he was also keen to emphasise the successes that he believes Abenomics has achieved – above all in the fight against deflation. “We have done away with deflationary expectations,” he says, adding that wages are now rising and that job vacancies are plentiful. More structural reforms are also promised.

“Liberalisation of the power sector is proceeding” said Mr Abe, “and whereas in the past, nobody even [suggested] reforms of agricultural co-operatives, we’ve made a decision to undertake reform there and in the medical sector and in employment law.”


When it was pointed out that US trade negotiators had openly criticised Japan for failing to proceed with structural reforms to secure a Trans-Pacific Partnership free-trade deal, Mr Abe laughed briefly and opted for a diplomatic response. “We are in the last phase of the negotiations and those are the most difficult.” He added that, in a phone conversation with Barack Obama last week, he and the US president agreed that “we would make maximum effort to conclude this”.

The foreign leader that Mr Abe would most like to speak to, however, is probably Xi Jinping, the president of China. Tensions between Japan and China remain high. The two countries continue to jostle over disputed islands in the East China Sea. Beijing is also bitterly critical of the Abe government’s treatment of history and of visits paid to the Yasukuni war shrine in Tokyo, by the prime minister himself and by colleagues.

Mr Abe has repeatedly requested a meeting with the Chinese president and has so far been rebuffed. In Milan, he reiterated his hope that a bilateral meeting with Mr Xi could take place at the Apec summit in Beijing, next month, while saying that Japan could not agree to “pre-conditions” – an apparent reference to China’s demand that Mr Abe promise never to visit Yasukuni again.

Picking his words carefully, Mr Abe refused to comment in detail on the military situation around the disputed islands that Japan calls the Senkakus and that China calls the Diaoyu, saying: “Unfortunately, there are incursions into our territorial waters, but we are dealing with this rationally.”

Mr Abe stressed the mutual economic interests of Japan and China, adding: “It would be good if we could have a heads of government meeting at the Apec summit . . . to deal with contingencies, the defence authorities should have a hot-line . . . If the summit meeting goes ahead, I’d like to call upon China to do this.”

The shadow of Russia’s seizure of the Crimea hangs over China’s territorial dispute with Japan. In the same Milan hotel that Mr Abe was speaking, President Vladimir Putin of Russia was meeting with President Poroshenko of Ukraine. Mr Abe had meetings with both the Russia and Ukrainian leaders in Milan and told the FT: “Japan does not condone changing of the status quo through coercion and intimidation.”